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  1. Risk and Responsibility: Managing Future Iranian Weapons of Mass Destruction Threats

    Private Viewpoints May 10, 2022 Washington is reimagining its global role, leading the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) to make difficult choices about priorities, resources, and risk to better address the long-term “pacing challenge” posed by China. To d ...

  2. Entering Dangerous, Uncharted Waters: Iran’s 60 Percent Highly Enriched Uranium

    Private Viewpoints April 11, 2022 As soon as mid-to-late April, Iran is expected to reach a new dangerous, destabilizing threshold, having enough highly enriched uranium (HEU) to fashion a nuclear explosive, about 40-42 kilograms (kg) of 60 percent enrich ...

  3. Where are Iran’s new centrifuge manufacturing capabilities?

    Private Viewpoints February 16, 2022 Recent reporting that Iran has moved its centrifuge manufacturing capabilities from the TESA/TABA manufacturing facility near Karaj to Esfahan led us to examine the main Esfahan site. In this report, we focus our visua ...

  4. Iran’s Natanz Tunnel Complex: Deeper, Larger than Expected

    Private Viewpoints January 13, 2022 The new Natanz underground complex, located in the mountainous area south of the main uranium enrichment site, will feature halls more deeply buried than the Fordow uranium enrichment site, itself deeply buried. Both ar ...

  5. A Comprehensive Survey of Iran’s Advanced Centrifuges

    Private Viewpoints December 2, 2021 Iran’s development of gas centrifuges to enrich uranium has been long-standing and seemingly haphazard but in general encompasses a program seeking longer, faster centrifuges, while struggling with reliability. Cost doe ...

  6. Iran’s Evolving Nuclear Program and Implications for U.S. Policy

    Private Viewpoints October 15, 2021 Odds that the Iran nuclear deal can be revived have diminished over recent months. The new presidential administration in Iran has repeatedly said that it plans to resume talks in Vienna to resuscitate the deal “very so ...

  7. Iran Avoids IAEA Censure

    Private Viewpoints October 5, 2021 Iran avoided a censure from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors by striking a last-minute deal with the agency that allowed inspectors to access monitoring equipment at several nuclear facili ...

  8. Iran’s Recent, Irreversible Nuclear Advances

    Private Viewpoints September 22, 2021 In many ways, Iran’s nuclear capabilities now greatly exceed their status in early 2016, when the JCPOA was implemented. Its breakout time, namely the time needed to produce enough weapon-grade uranium for a single nu ...

  9. Iranian Illicit Procurement Scheme to Acquire Controlled Spectrometry Systems Busted

    Private Viewpoints September 16, 2021 On September 9, 2021, the German Federal Prosecutors Office issued an arrest warrant for a German-Iranian citizen, Alexander J., who is accused of illegally exporting a multitude of laboratory equipment, including fou ...

  10. After Biden's Afghanistan blunder, is the Iran nuclear deal finally dead?

    Private Viewpoints September 2, 2021 In the aftermath of the fall of Afghanistan, the Biden administration is unlikely to make many concessions that will make it appear weak or incompetent. In short, while anything is possible, it now seems unlikely that ...

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