News Briefs

December 15, 2021
Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have reached an agreement to reinstall monitoring cameras at a centrifuge manufacturing plant in Karaj. IAEA cameras at the site were damaged in an alleged sabotage incident in June, and Iran had subsequently refused to allow IAEA inspectors to replace them. Tehran had alleged, without evidence, that the IAEA cameras had been used to plan the June attack. The IAEA denied this claim but agreed to allow Iranian "security and judiciary" officials to inspect its equipment before it is reinstalled. Iran will continue to withhold the cameras' footage from the IAEA until a broader agreement is reached in ongoing negotiations to restore the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).
-- Associated Press
December 15, 2021
Microsoft issued a public warning on December 14 that hackers linked to the governments of China, Iran, North Korea, and Turkey are working to exploit a flaw in the Java-based Log4j software that could affect hundreds of millions of computer systems, including those used by governments and major corporations. According to Microsoft, the Iranian group has deployed ransomware in the past. A senior US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency official said that there was no evidence federal networks had been breached.
-- CNN
December 12, 2021
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi submitted his government's draft budget to Iran's Parliament on December 12th. The budget proposal for Persian year 1401, which will begin in March 2022, predicts that the country's economy will expand by 8%. The budget also predicts 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil exports at $60 per barrel. Estimates for Iran's oil exports in November 2021 ran as high as 900,000 bpd, including 500,000 bpd to China, despite sanctions. However, Raisi's draft budget is smaller in real terms than the current budget due to high inflation in Iran. 
-- Reuters
December 3, 2021
Nuclear negotiators in Vienna ended their first week of talks without a deal and returned to their capitals for consultations on December 3rd. European Union chief diplomat Enrique Mora said that there needs to be a "convergence of policy" for negotiations to proceed. Iranian negotiators repeated a demand for the United States to unfreeze $10 billion in assets. The goal of the talks is to bring Iran and the United States back into compliance with the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the 2015 agreement limiting Iran's nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief. From Dubai, French president Emmanuel Macron voiced skepticism about the eventual outcome of the talks and said it was important to discuss "other regional issues" beyond Iran's nuclear program. 
-- Associated Press
December 1, 2021
According to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Iran has begun enriching uranium to 20% purity using advanced centrifuges at its underground Fordow facility. Iran is using one cascade of 166 IR-6 centrifuges to carry out the enrichment. The IAEA said it intends to step up inspections at Fordow as a result. An Iranian statement downplayed the report as routine, but IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi expressed concern. Uranium enrichment at Fordow is prohibited by the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). 
-- Reuters
November 26, 2021
An international arbitration panel ruled in late November that Bahrain's government acted improperly when it closed Future Bank in 2015. The bank was a joint venture between Bank Melli and Bank Saderat, two Iranian banks that have been sanctioned by the United States. Bahraini officials argued that Future Bank had to be closed to protect investors from alleged corruption and sanctions violations. However, The Hague-based panel found that Bahrain's actions were not consistent with Bahrain's own banking laws and may have had political motivations, as Iran is a regional rival. It ordered the government of Bahrain to pay the banks more than $270 million in compensation, which Bahrain plans to appeal.
-- The Washington Post
November 24, 2021
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Grossi was unable to secure Agency access to Iran's centrifuge manufacturing plant in Karaj after visiting with top officials in Tehran. Iran removed IAEA monitoring equipment from Karaj after an alleged sabotage attempt in June and has not allowed inspectors to see the site despite a September agreement that the Agency claims authorized inspections there. According to unnamed diplomats, Iran conditioned access to the Karaj facility on the IAEA ending its investigation of undeclared nuclear material found at several sites in Iran in 2019, which Grossi reportedly rejected. Grossi told the IAEA's Board of Governors that his talks with Tehran had been "inconclusive". 
-- Wall Street Journal
November 21, 2021
Iranian airline Mahan Air's website was temporarily rendered inaccessible by a cyberattack on November 21. A group calling itself Hoosyarane-Vatan, or Observants of Fatherland, claimed responsibility in text messages sent to Mahan Air customers citing Mahan Air's cooperation with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The airline has been sanctioned by the United States since 2011 for providing support to the IRGC. Iran has experienced other large-scale cyberattacks this year, including one that disabled gas stations in October and another that disrupted the country's railroad system in July. 
-- Associated Press
November 18, 2021
In October, five drones loaded with explosives dive-bombed a U.S. military base in Al Tanf, Syria. American and Israeli officials have now said that the attack was directed and supplied by Iran and carried out by its proxies in the region. The attack was allegedly a retaliatory strike in response to a series of Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in Syria earlier in October. A Telegram channel linked to Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) appeared to corroborate this account.
-- The New York Times
November 17, 2021
A new International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) report estimates that Iran has increased its stock of 60% enriched uranium to 17.7 kilograms, an increase of approximately 8 kilograms since the last IAEA estimate in August. The confidential report further states that inspectors are still unable to verify Iran's stockpile due to limited access to its nuclear facilities. A separate report raised concerns about intrusive searches of Agency inspectors by Iranian security personnel at nuclear sites. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi is expected to visit Tehran on November 22nd.
-- Associated Press

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