Iran After the Bomb: How Would a Nuclear-Armed Tehran Behave?

May 17, 2013

Weapon Program: 

  • Nuclear
  • Missile
  • Military

Mentioned Suspect Entities & Suppliers: 

Author: 

Alireza Nader

Publication: 

RAND Corporation

Iran's acquisition of nuclear weapons is not a foregone conclusion. The U.S. policy of imposing sanctions on Iran while pursuing diplomatic engagement may still dissuade the Islamic Republic from developing a nuclear weapons capability. However, that policy is not guaranteed to resolve the Iranian nuclear crisis. Even an Israeli and/or U.S. military attack against Iran's nuclear facilities could not prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons; it could only delay such development. Therefore, it is prudent to examine Iran's potential foreign policy, military doctrine, and support for terrorism after it has obtained nuclear weapons. This report seeks to explore how a nuclear-armed Iran would behave, if it would act aggressively, and what this would entail for the United States and its main regional allies, including the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and Israel.

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See full text at the RAND Corporation: Iran After the Bomb